Fundamentals matter. Welcome to ICM Analytics.
What is SIRE?
SIRE is built by the visionary team behind Score Vision (@webuildscore). The team has deep expertise in quantitative research, AI-powered sports analytics, and decentralized finance innovation.
Maxime (Max) Sebti
CEO & Intellectual Lead
Co-founder of CrunchDAO and pioneer in distributed quant research and collective intelligence. Max's many years with @crunchDAO have paved the way for decentralized, collaborative approaches.
Tim Kalic
CTO
Instrumental in creating the technical backbone of SCORE, including video-to-data pipelines and Bittensor Subnet 44 infrastructure that feeds SIRE's quant engine.
Nigel Grant
CRO
Driving product innovation, sports betting strategy, and business development, merging real-time analytics with commercial excellence.
This foundational team, together with a global network of ML engineers, quants, and modelers enabled by @crunchDAO, positions SIRE and SCORE at the forefront of decentralized prediction finance.
History & Vision
SIRE operates as an on-chain DeAI hedge fund and DAO, leveraging real-time, high-quality tracking data sourced from SCORE Vision's Subnet 44 - the "optic lens" for @bittensor. This integration is reinforced by the founders' experience with CrunchDAO, a decentralized collective intelligence, founded in January 2023.
Under Maxime (Max) Sebti's leadership, CrunchDAO has delivered landmark results for the financial sector:
- Built a global network of 10,000+ machine learning engineers and 1,200+ PhDs focused on quantitative research, modeling, and finance-specific analytics.
- Achieved double-digit accuracy gains for top-tier asset management and investment houses, including a +17% improvement in asset pricing prediction for ADIA Lab.
- Advanced signal breakthroughs for equity selection, FX trading, and predictive gene research relevant to biotech investing.
- Outperformed traditional in-house quant teams by leveraging large-scale, crowdsourced modeling competitions.
- Delivered the Mid+One pricing engine via CrunchDAO's competition-driven infrastructure, now actively used at leading investment banks.
- Pioneered privacy-preserving, encrypted modeling protocols and merit-based rewards.
These results highlight how SIRE's founders have spent years pushing decentralization, transparency, and crowd-powered intelligence to the cutting edge. SIRE is the next evolution - an agentic, on-chain hedge fund.
Fresh Innovation, Infinite Possibilities
$SIRE citizens benefit from the innovation called prediction markets.
The Key Difference
In legacy betting: Win too much and the house may ban you.
In decentralized markets: Win and the crowd returns for more - enabling unlimited scale.
SIRE can deploy $500K today, $5M tomorrow, and beyond $50M+ with no limitations.
Products for Users
aLink
Real-time betting terminal with direct Kalshi event access. Currently getting a huge update: See announcement
aVault
Vault for directional event bets at scale. Deposit USDC and earn 36.4% APY (based on current performance). View live dashboard with daily updates
DeltaVault
Market-making platform for prediction markets. Lower APY on stables with less risk than aVault. DeltaVault is expected to create massive volumes on @Kalshi and @Polymarket which are rumored to do a huge airdrop based on volume in the future.
Upcoming Airdrops
The upcoming airdrops for prediction markets are expected to be lucrative for early adopters. Current valuations are sky-high and real-world adoption is increasing by the day.
SIRE's market cap is $9.0M—a fraction compared to these giants, yet technologically differentiated with massive potential.
Potential Airdrop Formula
To maximize effect for $SIRE airdrop, the most likely approach for the team (this is NOT confirmed) will be:
Strategic Partnerships
Official Partnership: Kalshi
SIRE is an official partner of Kalshi, the first CFTC-regulated exchange for event contracts and the most influential prediction market platform globally. This partnership embeds SIRE deeply in the regulated event trading ecosystem, enabling cross-platform market access, compliance, and liquidity.
SIRE's aLink terminal will connect users directly to Kalshi events - unlocking compliant trading, hedging, and yield in real-world markets.
SCORE Enabler Partnerships
@webuildscore has recently partnered with:
- Reading FC: Year-long collaboration for advanced analytic and tactical AI, integrating elite football expertise into SIRE's predictive stack.
- AVIA: SCORE's vision AI powers industrial automation, proving breadth and continuous improvement beyond sports.
Although this does not directly influence the chart of $SIRE, this ensures @webuildscore gets more knowledge, data, and funding that accelerates growth in $SIRE with faster development and higher data accuracy.
How to Track This Investment
Visit icm-analytics.com/sire-dashboard/ periodically to see the performance of the vault. As of November 30, 2025, the current results are mind-blowing!
Another metric to track is the amount of tokens staked in the staking contract, which will be integrated on our website in the near future. Currently as of November 30, 30.42% of the supply has been staked. There is no lock-up period for staking tokens.
🔥 Token Burns
5,521 SIRE (0.03%) tokens have been permanently burned (sent to the dead address). Burns are funded by protocol fees and the $300M fund performance fees, reducing supply over time.
Performance of the $300M Fund
On June 11, $SIRE partnered with an unknown $300M fund: See announcement
SIRE's vault returns and protocol profits also power an industry-leading $300 million fund which pays a performance fee to $SIRE - completely used to buyback and burn $SIRE tokens.
The mechanism is simple: as the vaults perform, protocol profits accrue, making it more likely this hedge fund pays a big performance fee, resulting in a huge buyback of $SIRE tokens. Currently, with the exceptional performance of aVault, we think the odds for buybacks are in favor of the citizens (holders).
Roadmap: What's Next?
- Scale aVault capacity for increased TVL and more sophisticated strategies.
- Launch DeltaVault for steady market-making returns.
- Major upgrade to aLink terminal with Kalshi event integration and advanced analytics.
- Integrations with platforms like football.fun for ecosystem expansion.
SIRE and SCORE together define the frontier of on-chain prediction finance - uniting world-class AI, decentralized intelligence, blue-chip partnerships, transparent governance, and robust infrastructure for long-term value and growth.
Risks to Monitor
Important Risk Factors
While we are bullish on SIRE's fundamentals and team execution, responsible investing requires acknowledging the risks:
- Smart Contract Risk: aVault, DeltaVault, and staking contracts hold user funds on-chain. Despite audits and testing, smart contract exploits remain a risk in DeFi. Users should only deposit what they can afford to lose.
- Vault Performance Variability: Historical APY does not guarantee future returns. Sports betting models can experience drawdowns. Extended losing streaks or model degradation could impact vault performance.
- Liquidity & Market Cap Risk: At $9.0M market cap, SIRE is a small-cap asset with limited liquidity. Large orders can move price significantly. Exit liquidity during market stress may be constrained.
- Regulatory Landscape (Improved): Both major prediction market platforms now have US regulatory clarity. Kalshi is a CFTC-designated Designated Contract Market (DCM) and won its court battle in May 2025, affirming political event contracts are lawful. Polymarket received CFTC approval in November 2025 for US market access. While some state-level challenges exist and DeFi remains legally evolving, the core prediction market infrastructure SIRE operates on is now federally regulated.
- Platform Dependency: SIRE's products rely on external platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Changes to API access or terms of service could disrupt operations.
- Airdrop Speculation: Potential airdrops from Kalshi and Polymarket are not guaranteed. Basing investment decisions on speculative future rewards carries significant risk.